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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 224.7 | $0.062 | $94.6 | +$80.61 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 11 | $0.120 | $1.32 | Aug 7, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 206 |
| $0.100 |
| $19.57 |
| -$1.03 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 26 | $0.100 | $17.29 | +$14.69 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 132.67 | $0.143 | $16.58 | -$2.37 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 211 | $0.114 | $15.3 | -$8.76 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 116.94 | $0.094 | $14.21 | +$3.22 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 116 | $0.133 | $13.34 | -$2.08 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 287.09 | $0.060 | $12.78 | -$4.35 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 62 | $0.148 | $11.63 | +$2.45 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 9 | $0.140 | $7.7 | +$6.44 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 164 | $0.120 | $7.38 | -$12.3 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 27.86 | $0.350 | $3.62 | -$6.13 |
 Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 45 | $0.100 | $3.38 | -$1.13 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.32 | $0.930 | $3.08 | -$1.87 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 9.71 | $0.340 | $2.86 | -$0.44 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 52 | $0.057 | $2.73 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18 | $0.140 | $2.43 | -$0.09 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18 | $0.070 | $2.43 | +$1.17 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.085 | $2.25 | -$0.29 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22 | $0.060 | $1.98 | +$0.66 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 23 | $0.100 | $1.5 | -$0.81 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17.01 | $0.078 | $1.33 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58 | $0.021 | $1.19 | -$0.03 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 17 | $0.080 | $0.94 | -$0.43 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.580 | $0.93 | -$1.98 |
| sell |
| 27 |
| $0.036 |
| $0.97 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.100 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 33 | $0.038 | $1.25 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 31 | $0.035 | $1.09 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 32 | $0.036 | $1.15 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 32 | $0.032 | $1.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.059 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.100 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 36 | $0.034 | $1.22 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.056 | $1.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.100 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 31 | $0.034 | $1.05 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 32 | $0.033 | $1.06 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.100 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.140 | $1.26 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 11 | $0.120 | $1.32 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming | buy | 35 | $0.009 | $0.31 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.080 | $1.36 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.080 | $1.36 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupGen.G Global Academy | buy | 13 | $0.090 | $1.17 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupGen.G Global Academy | buy | 13 | $0.090 | $1.17 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming | buy | 11 | $0.060 | $0.66 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.080 | $1.36 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.148 | $1.33 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.120 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.100 | $1.3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6?No | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.148 | $1.33 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.052 | $1.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.066 | $1.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.066 | $1.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.148 | $1.33 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.120 | $1.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |