Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.630 | $18.9 | +$6.3 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.520 | $6.24 | 18d ago |
 |
| No |
| 15 |
| $0.960 |
| $14.74 |
| +$0.34 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 16 | $0.930 | $14.48 | -$0.4 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 12 | $0.933 | $11.66 | +$0.46 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 12 | $0.956 | $11.12 | -$0.35 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 27 | $0.230 | $10.67 | +$4.46 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.950 | $9.45 | -$0.05 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.880 | $9.36 | +$0.56 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.920 | $9.25 | +$0.05 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 9 | $0.830 | $8.7 | +$1.23 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.950 |
| $9.5 |
| 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.930 | $14.88 | 19d ago |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 19d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.921 | $12.89 | 19d ago |
 Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.003 | $0.42 | 22d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 22d ago |
 Government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 12 | $0.810 | $9.72 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.956 | $11.47 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.933 | $11.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.090 | $2.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.974 | $9.74 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?No | sell | 14 | $0.643 | $9 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.282 | $11.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.330 | $4.29 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $478,000 and $486,000 on September 30?No | sell | 9 | $0.939 | $8.45 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7 | $0.761 | $5.33 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.820 | $10.66 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.061 | $1.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.559 | $7.27 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.290 | $7.83 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.346 | $13.84 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.158 | $4.9 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.579 | $15.63 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.706 | $12 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 45 | $0.394 | $17.75 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 29.98 | $0.152 | $4.56 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $478,000 and $486,000 on September 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.850 | $7.65 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.850 | $14.45 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.200 | $9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.960 | $14.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?No | buy | 8 | $0.710 | $5.68 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.099 | $4.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No | buy | 18 | $0.490 | $8.83 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.550 | $14.3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.830 | $7.47 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be less than $554,000 on June 30?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.680 | $10.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $495,000 on June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.480 | $14.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.450 | $2.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.160 | $2.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.738 | $14.76 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.210 | $2.73 | Jun 2, 2026 |