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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 3.64K | $0.739 | $2.9K | +$205.1 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 2.6K |
| $0.869 |
| $2.38K |
| +$119.76 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.91K | $0.749 | $2.26K | +$76.79 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.79K | $0.749 | $1.39K | +$46.54 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.16K | $0.782 | $1.05K | +$142.29 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 5.19K | $0.572 | $1.01K | -$1.96K |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 999.95 | $0.704 | $764.96 | +$61 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 449.98 | $0.897 | $402.74 | -$0.75 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.850 | $354 | +$14 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.833 | $259.5 | +$9.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.777 | $212.12 | +$17.96 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.784 | $190.69 | +$33.97 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | Yes | 200 | $0.780 | $142.1 | -$13.9 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 799.99 | $0.145 | $100 | -$16 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $93.5 | +$0.5 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $91.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $85.5 | +$2.5 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | No | 90 | $0.874 | $81.45 | +$2.78 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 100 | $0.560 | $74.5 | +$18.5 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 787.42 | $0.532 | $36.62 | -$382.66 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 499.98 | $0.070 | $11 | -$24 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 599.95 | $0.015 | $2.1 | -$6.9 |
| buy |
| 65.67 |
| $0.770 |
| $50.57 |
| 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.770 | $38.5 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.120 | $60 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.120 | $60 | 1d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | 3d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 6.62 | $0.890 | $5.89 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 89.78 | $0.460 | $41.3 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 121.02 | $0.287 | $34.73 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 484.23 | $0.270 | $130.74 | 4d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 6d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.870 | $0.87 | 7d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 65.32 | $0.720 | $47.03 | 7d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | 7d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.830 | $41.49 | 7d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 7d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | 7d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 48.81 | $0.920 | $44.91 | 8d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | 8d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | 8d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | 8d ago |