Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | No | 50 | $0.770 | $49.48 | +$10.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.570 |
| $35 |
| -$22 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.540 | $31.75 | +$4.75 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.540 | $30.75 | +$3.75 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.470 | $24 | +$0.5 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 50 | $0.490 | $18.75 | -$5.75 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $16.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? | No | 20 | $0.880 | $14.9 | -$2.7 |
 Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $14.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | No | 50 | $0.660 | $13.75 | -$19.25 |
 Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | No | 20 | $0.680 | $11.9 | -$1.7 |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $11.7 | -$5.3 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | Yes | 50 | $0.240 | $7.75 | -$4.25 |
 Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | Yes | 20 | $0.460 | $7.7 | -$1.5 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | No | 50 | $0.610 | $7.25 | -$23.25 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 11.7 | $0.530 | $5.97 | -$0.23 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.550 | $4.5 | -$6.5 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.510 | $4.25 | -$21.25 |
 Will Dplus Challengers win LCK CL 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.450 | $3.8 | -$5.2 |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.710 | $3.5 | -$10.7 |
 Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.260 | $3.1 | -$2.1 |
 Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Yes | 20 | $0.200 | $2.2 | -$1.8 |
 Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $2.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | No | 20 | $0.290 | $1.13 | -$4.67 |
 Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | Yes | 20 | $0.410 | $0.58 | -$7.62 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.310 |
| $6.2 |
| 20d ago |
 Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.225 | $4.5 | 23d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 23d ago |
 Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 24d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 24d ago |
 Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | 24d ago |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?No | sell | 20 | $0.313 | $6.25 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?No | sell | 20 | $0.527 | $10.54 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 25d ago |
 Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?Yes | sell | 4.86 | $0.560 | $2.72 | 26d ago |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.394 | $7.88 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.432 | $8.65 | 26d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.429 | $8.59 | 26d ago |
 Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?No | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 17?No | sell | 4 | $0.630 | $2.52 | 27d ago |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 29?No | sell | 20 | $0.009 | $0.18 | 27d ago |
 Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 27d ago |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 27d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 27d ago |
 Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | 27d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | 27d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.701 | $14.01 | 27d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.22 | $0.890 | $15.33 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.437 | $21.85 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.225 | $4.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?No | sell | 50 | $0.753 | $37.66 | Aug 6, 2026 |