Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.01 |
| $0.997 |
| $5 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.994 | $5.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.999 | $5.03 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Netflix reach $455 in February?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft reach $630 in February?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released on February 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.994 | $7 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be below 50%?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.984 | $4.95 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.987 | $4.98 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.990 | $4.96 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No | sell | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by less than 24% in January 2026?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.947 | $4.77 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by less than 24% in January 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |