Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 12.5 | $0.800 | $11.69 | +$1.69 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.25 | $0.616 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 12.5 |
| $0.200 |
| $11.06 |
| +$8.56 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.250 |
| $10 |
| Jun 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.200 | $2.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 X Money launch in 2025?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 50.5 | $0.198 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.983 | $49.15 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 519.95 | $0.890 | $462.76 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | sell | 10.13 | $0.820 | $8.31 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 478.91 | $0.626 | $300 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 824.84 | $0.995 | $820.72 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 824.85 | $0.996 | $821.55 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 21.25 | $0.941 | $20 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 45.05 | $0.111 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 113.31 | $0.177 | $20 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 519.94 | $0.687 | $357.06 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 661.43 | $0.151 | $100 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 576.55 | $0.173 | $100 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | sell | 42.96 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?No | sell | 636.6 | $0.002 | $1.27 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 455.48 | $0.729 | $331.94 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 314.89 | $0.739 | $232.62 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?No | buy | 76.42 | $0.066 | $5.05 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.940 | $5.05 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?No | buy | 275.37 | $0.069 | $18.92 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.139 | $198.65 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 35.04 | $0.750 | $26.28 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.999 | $26.28 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.741 | $789.59 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 42.96 | $0.233 | $10 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | sell | 804.41 | $0.994 | $799.58 | Jun 30, 2025 |