Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 28.91K | $0.290 | $15.18K | +$6.79K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 5.2K | $0.972 | $5.05K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 439.57 |
| $0.930 |
| $435.18 |
| +$26.37 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 5.44 | $0.290 | $2.8 | +$1.22 |
| sell |
| 15.21K |
| $0.900 |
| $13.69K |
| Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2.9K | $0.985 | $2.86K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 17.05K | $0.984 | $16.78K | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.82K | $0.975 | $25.17K | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 54.39K | $0.940 | $51.13K | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.06K | $0.920 | $47.89K | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.029 | $59.88 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 5.29K | $0.879 | $4.65K | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 30.89K | $0.975 | $30.12K | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 26.29K | $0.976 | $25.66K | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 7.59K | $0.964 | $7.31K | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 81.1K | $0.970 | $78.66K | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.987 | $19.74K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.980 | $19.6K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 15.74K | $0.963 | $15.16K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.52K | $0.978 | $40.61K | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.2K | $0.977 | $31.46K | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 14.5K | $0.878 | $12.72K | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.145 | $201.31 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.21K | $0.569 | $7.51K | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Yes | buy | 643.83 | $0.910 | $585.89 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.690 | $1.63K | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.640 | $845.04 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | buy | 2.95K | $0.618 | $1.82K | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.740 | $1.08K | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.717 | $818.74 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 99.41K | $0.016 | $1.61K | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 131.68K | $0.020 | $2.69K | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 36.99K | $0.003 | $111.08 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 99.7K | $0.056 | $5.54K | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 100K | $0.952 | $95.16K | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 234.45K | $0.095 | $22.33K | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.06K | $0.054 | $6.16K | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 60.85K | $0.018 | $1.1K | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 22.32K | $0.131 | $2.92K | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out first?Yes | buy | 813.97 | $0.746 | $606.94 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 3.26K | $0.846 | $2.76K | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 8.44K | $0.777 | $6.57K | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?Yes | buy | 4.72K | $0.737 | $3.48K | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.11K | $0.291 | $1.78K | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.6K | $0.930 | $17.3K | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 22.98K | $0.799 | $18.36K | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 15.22K | $0.800 | $12.18K | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14.9K | $0.799 | $11.9K | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14.7K | $0.798 | $11.73K | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.26K | $0.800 | $16.2K | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.33K | $0.790 | $14.48K | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 98.47K | $0.171 | $16.79K | Sep 6, 2025 |