Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | sell | 14.36 | $0.850 | $12.21 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 9.67 |
| $0.180 |
| $1.74 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.57 | $0.380 | $2.88 | May 29, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 30.76 | $0.160 | $4.92 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
 Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | sell | 41.66 | $0.180 | $7.5 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 232.45 | $0.022 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 30.42 | $0.370 | $11.26 | May 27, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.661 | $8.27 | May 27, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.51 | $0.344 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.23 | $0.061 | $2.21 | May 26, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.120 | $1.54 | May 26, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.080 | $1.43 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.22 | $0.693 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes | buy | 8.35 | $0.599 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.230 | $1.6 | May 26, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?Up | sell | 5.88 | $0.880 | $5.17 | May 26, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?Up | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.260 | $7 | May 26, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?Up | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.410 | $5.26 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?No | sell | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.960 | $36.92 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.951 | $7.67 | May 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 18.8 | $0.266 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.450 | $5.49 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.16 | $0.132 | $6.23 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.110 | $2.5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.890 | $15.34 | May 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.23 | $0.138 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |