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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 25.62 | $0.790 | $23.95 | +$3.71 |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | 28d ago |
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| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.200 |
| $14.5 |
| -$5.5 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 16.48 | $0.631 | $10.79 | +$0.39 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 18.32 | $0.560 | $7.97 | -$2.29 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.21 | $0.560 | $6.05 | -$0.79 |
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 32.52 | $0.620 | $4.71 | -$15.45 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.54 | -$0.17 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.470 | $1.31 | -$0.1 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 8.09 | $0.230 | $0.85 | -$1.01 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.23 | -$1.27 |
| buy |
| 2.03 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.42 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No | buy | 38.57 | $0.519 | $20.02 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 26.85 | $0.750 | $20.14 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.39 | $0.248 | $3.32 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.310 | $2.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.310 | $3.41 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 30.75 | $0.360 | $11.07 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.460 | $7.36 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.670 | $4.93 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.400 | $3.26 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 12.4 | $0.450 | $5.58 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.620 | $5.04 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.275 | $1.82 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.210 | $1.28 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 27.36 | $0.740 | $20.25 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 25.62 | $0.790 | $20.24 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.52 | $0.620 | $20.16 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 38.73 | $0.520 | $20.14 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.660 | $4.69 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.414 | $3.57 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jul 7, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.330 | $9.57 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.350 | $2.59 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes | buy | 6.61 | $0.280 | $1.85 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of June 22 2026?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.450 | $3.96 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.460 | $1.64 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.230 | $1.86 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.430 | $3.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |