Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | May 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.05 |
| $0.994 |
| $8 |
| May 10, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 7?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.954 | $3 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 11.49 | $0.340 | $3.91 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 48.21 | $0.865 | $41.71 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 41.72 | $0.985 | $41.09 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | buy | 13.69 | $0.949 | $12.99 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.630 | $2.76 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 124.54 | $0.442 | $55 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 193.61 | $0.940 | $181.99 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?Yes | buy | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.760 | $4.7 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by Wednesday?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 193.62 | $0.940 | $182 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 John Thune out as Senate Majority leader by October 31?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.984 | $3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.870 | $4 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 5 or more times by October 31?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.991 | $3.16 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win by 20% or more?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?Yes | buy | 4.53 | $0.994 | $4.5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 25–30 million views on Friday at noon?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Drake release an album by October 24?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.940 | $3.39 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.940 | $3.34 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.995 | $3.5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in September?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.890 | $2.12 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.800 | $2.45 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Bull run: SeptemberNo | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG II' have over 160k sales in its first week?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Apple launch an iPhone Air on September 9?Yes | buy | 5.37 | $0.990 | $5.32 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.940 | $4.3 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. Out by September 30?No | buy | 3.31 | $0.970 | $3.21 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 19-25?No | buy | 6.57 | $0.940 | $6.18 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 22?No | buy | 6.99 | $0.920 | $6.43 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on August 8?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 72°F or below on August 8?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 2025 August second hottest on record?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.970 | $8.54 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.928 | $6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 5.96 | $0.890 | $5.3 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.910 | $6.4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.994 | $7 | Jul 3, 2025 |