Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 344 | $0.630 | $311.32 | +$94.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.980 | $78.4 | 23d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 336.59 |
| $0.615 |
| $286.1 |
| +$79.1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 299.99 | $0.667 | $184.49 | -$15.5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 120 | $0.754 | $118.5 | +$28 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 162.66 | $0.390 | $116.3 | +$52.86 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 321.1 | $0.626 | $109.17 | -$91.93 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 62.86 | $0.795 | $56.48 | +$6.48 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 55.27 | $0.543 | $52.51 | +$22.51 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 240 | $0.656 | $43.2 | -$114.2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.480 | $27.75 | +$3.75 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.300 | $25.75 | +$10.75 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.400 | $21.25 | +$1.25 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.61 | $0.510 | $15.2 | +$5.2 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.300 | $5.5 | -$24.5 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.190 | $2.3 | -$1.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 40 | $0.290 | $0.5 | -$11.1 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.980 |
| $39.2 |
| 23d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.820 | $45.92 | 25d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 35.64 | $0.972 | $34.64 | 26d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.971 | $17.48 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.640 | $96 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.640 | $96 | 27d ago |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.750 | $112.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.660 | $132 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 95.57 | $0.710 | $67.85 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.582 | $232.8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.630 | $252 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 23.49 | $0.385 | $9.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 126 | $0.950 | $119.7 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.6 | $0.770 | $9.7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.630 | $189 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.094 | $9.38 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.65 | $0.330 | $10.44 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 162.65 | $0.545 | $88.68 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 64.6 | $0.200 | $12.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 198.68 | $0.151 | $30 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 132.45 | $0.151 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.620 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 84.75 | $0.590 | $50 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.39 | $0.190 | $8.62 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 174.6 | $0.150 | $26.19 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 116.4 | $0.140 | $16.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 31.2 | $0.830 | $25.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 504.4 | $0.130 | $65.57 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.99 | $0.790 | $15 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 41.1 | $0.730 | $30 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 24.19 | $0.360 | $8.71 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 36.14 | $0.600 | $21.68 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.895 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 23.07 | $0.520 | $12 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.09 | $0.440 | $15 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.410 | $15 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 24.19 | $0.550 | $13.3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 47.52 | $0.490 | $23.28 | Jun 5, 2026 |