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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 98.98 | $0.505 | $50 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 277.75 |
| $0.306 |
| $85 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.995 | $103.64 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | sell | 32.42 | $0.986 | $31.96 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 587.76 | $0.321 | $188.63 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.292 | $13.27 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 X Money launch in 2025?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Cluely declare bankruptcy in 2025?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?No | buy | 60.18 | $0.931 | $56 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| X Money launch in 2025?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Anthropic acquired in 2025?No | buy | 52.36 | $0.955 | $50 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 271.72 | $0.374 | $101.64 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?No | buy | 50 | $0.967 | $48.35 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?No | buy | 95 | $0.880 | $83.6 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI accuse Microsoft of violating antitrust before August?No | buy | 51.31 | $0.910 | $46.69 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 250 | $0.880 | $220 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 200.8 | $0.034 | $6.83 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?No | buy | 227.77 | $0.878 | $200 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 235.81 | $0.848 | $200 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | buy | 235.29 | $0.850 | $200 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 200.8 | $0.249 | $50 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | buy | 658.04 | $0.760 | $500 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.42 | $0.913 | $29.6 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 106.58 | $0.140 | $14.92 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 FDA approves Unicycive’s Oxylanthanum Carbonate (OLC)?No | buy | 254.84 | $0.785 | $200 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 12.72 | $0.698 | $8.88 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 141.04 | $0.063 | $8.89 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 106.58 | $0.310 | $33.04 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 316.04 | $0.079 | $25 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 141.05 | $0.035 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |