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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.950 | $14.66 | Feb 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 21.38 |
| $0.950 |
| $20.31 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.085 | $11.9 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | sell | 4.64K | $0.997 | $4.62K | Jan 1, 2026 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 17 | $0.900 | $15.3 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.900 | $5.4 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 60.4 | $0.550 | $33.22 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 19 | $0.400 | $7.6 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | sell | 50.6 | $0.330 | $16.7 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 157.48 | $0.900 | $141.73 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.006 | $0.72 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 200 | $0.680 | $136 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | sell | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 210 | $0.961 | $201.8 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 101 | $0.955 | $96.46 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 405 | $0.951 | $384.97 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | sell | 801.31 | $0.372 | $298.4 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | buy | 1.34K | $0.381 | $509.57 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | buy | 354.4 | $0.360 | $127.58 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 93.79 | $0.950 | $89.13 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.950 | $1.43K | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.951 | $38.03 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 475 | $0.946 | $449.35 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 450.86 | $0.940 | $423.59 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 36.82 | $0.924 | $34.02 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 19.98 | $0.918 | $18.34 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 199.16 | $0.920 | $183.15 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 123.84 | $0.904 | $111.92 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 27, 2025 |