Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.21 | $0.890 | $26.66 | +$1.55 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.740 | $2.89 | 14h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 45.38 |
| $0.444 |
| $22.92 |
| +$2.76 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 21.81 | $0.885 | $21.31 | +$2.01 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 19.67 | $0.490 | $18.39 | +$8.75 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 85.41 | $0.399 | $12.38 | -$21.71 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 15.94 | $0.360 | $10.6 | +$4.86 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.49 | $0.840 | $10.05 | +$0.4 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.79 | $0.700 | $8.96 | -$0.69 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.51 | $0.760 | $7.42 | +$0.19 |
 Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026? | No | 6.6 | $0.970 | $6.56 | +$0.16 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.46 | $0.895 | $6.1 | +$0.32 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 3.91 | $0.740 | $3.83 | +$0.94 |
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 4.9 | $0.590 | $3.8 | +$0.91 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 3.75 | $0.770 | $3.27 | +$0.38 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | 3.22 | $0.900 | $3.12 | +$0.23 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.14 | $0.920 | $2.94 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3.28 | $0.880 | $2.84 | -$0.05 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 24.41 | $0.276 | $2.81 | -$3.92 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 10.56 | $0.270 | $2.48 | -$0.37 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Yes | 7.18 | $0.400 | $0.61 | -$2.26 |
| buy |
| 19.67 |
| $0.490 |
| $9.64 |
| 14h ago |
| Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.970 | $6.4 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 11.22 | $0.860 | $9.65 | 12d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 10.72 | $0.900 | $9.65 | 13d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 10.56 | $0.270 | $2.85 | 13d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 13.86 | $0.280 | $3.88 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.913 | $2.89 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.911 | $2.89 | 14d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 10.49 | $0.920 | $9.65 | 14d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?No | sell | 66.87 | $0.975 | $65.2 | 15d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Yes | sell | 30.65 | $0.010 | $0.31 | 21d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.010 | $0 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.51 | $0.390 | $2.93 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.18 | $0.400 | $2.87 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.18 | $0.400 | $2.87 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.65 | $0.400 | $5.86 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.78 | $0.400 | $5.51 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.68 | $0.400 | $5.87 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.45 | $0.400 | $8.18 | 23d ago |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 10.56 | $0.270 | $2.85 | 26d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.880 | $2.89 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.360 | $2.87 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.360 | $2.87 | 26d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 41.23 | $0.270 | $11.13 | 26d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 3.83 | $0.270 | $1.03 | 26d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.270 | $0.07 | 26d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.270 | $0.04 | 26d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 1.59 | $0.270 | $0.43 | 26d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.270 | $0.53 | 26d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 0.49 | $0.270 | $0.13 | 27d ago |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.880 | $2.89 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | sell | 14.17 | $0.134 | $1.9 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 26.83 | $0.139 | $3.73 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 19.59 | $0.144 | $2.83 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 19.65 | $0.144 | $2.83 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 18.99 | $0.149 | $2.83 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 18.93 | $0.149 | $2.83 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 18.99 | $0.149 | $2.83 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | sell | 71.06 | $0.120 | $8.53 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.116 | $0.16 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 36.24 | $0.149 | $5.4 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 20.17 | $0.140 | $2.83 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 72.44 | $0.127 | $9.19 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 34.08 | $0.940 | $32.04 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 2.68 | $0.430 | $1.15 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.770 | $2.89 | 29d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a spider?Yes | sell | 3.07 | $0.999 | $3.07 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a spider?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.940 | $2.89 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 23.24 | $0.210 | $4.88 | 29d ago |