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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 0.12 | $0.240 | $0 | -$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.300 | $3.6 | 9d ago |
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| sell |
| 48.5 |
| $0.080 |
| $3.88 |
| 9d ago |
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?No | sell | 25 | $0.035 | $0.88 | 9d ago |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | 10d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 1?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.370 | $0.77 | 11d ago |
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | 15d ago |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | 15d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 231 | $0.140 | $32.34 | 16d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | 16d ago |
Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.710 | $3.62 | 20d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.460 | $1.38 | 20d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | 21d ago |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | sell | 100 | $0.335 | $33.48 | 21d ago |
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 23 | $0.270 | $6.21 | 22d ago |
Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.630 | $22.05 | 22d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.430 | $86 | 22d ago |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 203 | $0.110 | $22.33 | 23d ago |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | 24d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.330 | $66 | 24d ago |
Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.220 | $9.24 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.440 | $11.44 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 61 | $0.310 | $18.91 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 0.68 | $0.630 | $0.43 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.180 | $4.14 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 20.62 | $0.570 | $11.75 | Aug 8, 2026 |
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.400 | $12.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti | sell | 74 | $0.440 | $32.56 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.148 | $29.54 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.400 | $10.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.248 | $10.44 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.670 | $17.42 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 53 | $0.510 | $27.03 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.270 | $6.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 217 | $0.280 | $60.76 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 244.77 | $0.210 | $51.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.490 | $29.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.430 | $0.06 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jul 26, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.320 | $24 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?No | sell | 23 | $0.370 | $8.51 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.330 | $66 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.94 | $0.410 | $23.76 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.370 | $74 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Jul 21, 2026 |