Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 86.36 | $0.579 | $38.43 | -$11.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 184.11 | $0.272 | $50 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 32.75 |
| $0.400 |
| $28.33 |
| +$15.23 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026? | Yes | 184.11 | $0.272 | $20.62 | -$29.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.14 | $0.570 | $4.03 | -$0.61 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.27 | $0.450 | $4.01 | +$0.29 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.410 | $2.76 | -$0.52 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.81 | +$0.23 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 25 | $0.220 | $1.63 | -$3.88 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.16 | -$0.34 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.81 | -$0.51 |
| buy |
| 151.52 |
| $0.330 |
| $50 |
| 19d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.560 | $1.98 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | 28d ago |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 129.46 | $0.386 | $50 | 28d ago |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?No | buy | 64.94 | $0.770 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.690 | $3.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.26 | $0.390 | $6.34 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.580 | $1.77 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.490 | $1.96 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.620 | $1.86 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.370 | $2.59 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.260 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.490 | $1.49 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.15 | $0.460 | $4.21 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.36 | $0.754 | $10.07 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 12.6 | $0.774 | $9.75 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.410 | $1.25 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.770 | $9.75 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 15.84 | $0.640 | $10.14 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.16 | $0.490 | $4.49 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 21.8 | $0.710 | $15.48 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.800 | $4.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.720 | $5.11 | Jul 12, 2026 |