Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 176.53 | $0.204 | $147.67 | +$111.64 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.790 | $4.34 | Apr 16, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 110.12 |
| $0.336 |
| $102.58 |
| +$65.53 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 85.29 | $0.604 | $72.07 | +$20.59 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 148.96 | $0.180 | $35.82 | +$8.98 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 32.7 | $0.290 | $26.65 | +$17.17 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100.52 | $0.087 | $19.45 | +$10.71 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 15.14 | $0.590 | $14.75 | +$5.81 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 163.36 | $0.102 | $14.29 | -$2.39 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 184.55 | $0.319 | $13.84 | -$45.09 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 397.82 | $0.023 | $9.75 | +$0.53 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 145.17 | $0.040 | $9.22 | +$3.43 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 8.03 | $0.860 | $7.61 | +$0.7 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 55.52 | $0.054 | $7.36 | +$4.38 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 115.16 | $0.039 | $6.51 | +$1.98 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.5 | $0.815 | $5.3 | +$0.82 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 34.91 | $0.250 | $4.94 | -$3.79 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 250.33 | $0.037 | $3.63 | -$5.77 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 103.25 | $0.025 | $2.74 | +$0.21 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 59.64 | $0.094 | $2.65 | -$2.97 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.94 | $0.051 | $1.28 | +$0.88 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 69.29 | $0.016 | $1.07 | -$0.03 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 90.29 | $0.012 | $0.59 | -$0.5 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 74.4 | $0.028 | $0.37 | -$1.71 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 179.6 | $0.021 | $0.27 | -$3.47 |
 Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 90.94 | $0.021 | $0.14 | -$1.77 |
| buy |
| 6.48 |
| $0.160 |
| $1.04 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 13.1 | $0.290 | $3.8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 13.16 | $0.291 | $3.83 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | buy | 13.03 | $0.013 | $0.17 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 6.78 | $0.148 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 8.85 | $0.590 | $5.22 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 7.23 | $0.300 | $2.17 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 5.79 | $0.720 | $4.17 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.310 | $1.75 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.49 | $0.350 | $2.62 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.450 | $2.62 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.26 | $0.860 | $5.38 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 26.35 | $0.083 | $2.19 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 9.37 | $0.977 | $9.15 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.400 | $2.72 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.56 | $0.081 | $1.02 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.973 | $7.88 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 13.45 | $0.110 | $1.48 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 33.21 | $0.330 | $10.96 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)GIANTX | buy | 24.95 | $0.640 | $15.97 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)Karmine Corp Blue | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1)G2 Esports | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)G2 Esports | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)Los Ratones | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)Los Ratones | buy | 33.32 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |