Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 2.79K | $0.140 | $237.15 | -$152.19 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | 18d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 12.2 |
| $0.410 |
| $11.4 |
| +$6.4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 22.58 | $0.310 | $3.73 | -$3.27 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 94.34 | $0.106 | $3.63 | -$6.37 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $0.92 | -$1.08 |
| buy |
| 118.75 |
| $0.008 |
| $1 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.023 | $40 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.28K | $0.026 | $60 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.5K | $0.022 | $100 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 1.13K | $0.500 | $564.41 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.510 | $575.7 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.01K | $0.022 | $200 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.002 | $2.84 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.059 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 272.25 | $0.005 | $1.36 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 587.31 | $0.130 | $76.35 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | May 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?Yes | buy | 13.97 | $0.072 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | buy | 4.66 | $0.429 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.215 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.310 | $7 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 61.11 | $0.900 | $55 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.23 | $0.690 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 63.49 | $0.630 | $40 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 272.25 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.106 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.959 | $79.91 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.24 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 122.81 | $0.570 | $70 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.425 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 45.47 | $0.919 | $41.79 | Dec 3, 2025 |