Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 0.23 | $0.570 | $0.16 | +$0.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 17.76 | $0.032 | $0.56 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 38.04 |
| $0.184 |
| $0.04 |
| -$6.96 |
| sell |
| 51.66 |
| $0.090 |
| $4.65 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.080 | $5.58 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.979 | $6.12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.230 | $5.75 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.27 | $0.390 | $6.35 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 7.44 | $0.930 | $6.92 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.49 | $0.935 | $7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.6 | $0.920 | $6.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | sell | 9.21 | $0.760 | $7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 18.91 | $0.370 | $7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.27 | $0.430 | $7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.960 | $7.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 7.7 | $0.963 | $7.42 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.860 | $7.82 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 72.16 | $0.113 | $8.15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Yes | sell | 15.55 | $0.580 | $9.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.850 | $9.88 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | sell | 24.94 | $0.400 | $9.98 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.940 | $10.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.939 | $10.09 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No | sell | 22.05 | $0.331 | $7.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.982 | $10.44 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No | sell | 11.07 | $0.995 | $11.01 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | sell | 11.5 | $0.995 | $11.44 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.520 | $12.38 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 46.05 | $0.279 | $12.83 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 69.39 | $0.198 | $13.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 35.95 | $0.395 | $14.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20.27 | $0.810 | $16.42 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.790 | $14.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?No | sell | 26.78 | $0.620 | $16.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 18.3 | $0.981 | $17.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | sell | 29.84 | $0.940 | $28.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 21.39 | $0.958 | $20.48 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.61 | $0.690 | $25.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | sell | 29.16 | $0.880 | $25.66 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 42.65 | $0.900 | $38.39 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.240 | $4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 11.73 | $0.741 | $8.69 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 7.98 | $0.771 | $6.15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.869 | $7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 7.95 | $0.880 | $7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | buy | 11.74 | $0.852 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.49 | $0.934 | $7 | Jun 30, 2026 |