Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.66K | $0.825 | $3.2K | +$183.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.910 | $191.1 | 3d ago |
| No |
| 1.2K |
| $0.855 |
| $1.12K |
| +$96 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.796 | $954 | +$158 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.790 | $855 | +$65 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 700 | $0.977 | $688.45 | +$4.85 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 694.39 | $0.893 | $674.95 | +$54.85 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 559.99 | $0.790 | $512.39 | +$70 |
 Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? | No | 400 | $0.890 | $376.2 | +$20.1 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.698 | $284.25 | +$74.85 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 237.91 | $0.818 | $198.65 | +$3.95 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 200 | $0.980 | $198.6 | +$2.6 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.945 | $195.5 | +$6.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.850 | $183 | +$13 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 500 | $0.385 | $175.75 | -$16.75 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 210 | $0.910 | $164.85 | -$26.25 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 490.68 | $0.694 | $115.31 | -$225.22 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 100 | $0.890 | $88.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.023 | $34.5 | +$11.5 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.635 | $0.1 | -$126.9 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.890 |
| $89 |
| 5d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.988 | $197.6 | 5d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 500 | $0.982 | $491 | 8d ago |
| Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?No | buy | 200 | $0.925 | $185 | 17d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 200 | $0.963 | $192.6 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.988 | $197.6 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 56.4 | $0.968 | $54.6 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.910 | $273 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.989 | $197.8 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.970 | $485 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.023 | $13.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.968 | $290.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 35.99 | $0.958 | $34.48 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 307 | $0.961 | $295.03 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.97 | $0.938 | $99.4 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.68 | $0.480 | $5.13 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.975 | $195 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 105 | $0.759 | $79.69 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 353.99 | $0.998 | $353.28 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.810 | $243 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 400 | $0.970 | $388 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.74 | $0.975 | $20.22 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.998 | $498.99 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.592 | $118.34 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37.96 | $0.974 | $36.97 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.43K | $0.996 | $1.43K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 378.02 | $0.969 | $366.38 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.081 | $80.96 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.385 | $192.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.991 | $495.5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.054 | $54 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.889 | $177.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 900 | $0.930 | $837.05 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.647 | $194.14 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.770 | $231 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.698 | $139.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.610 | $7.93 | May 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | May 19, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.650 | $325 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 186.62 | $0.905 | $168.87 | May 16, 2026 |