Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 3.81K | $0.970 | $3.76K | +$70.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | sell | 182.95 | $0.016 | $2.92 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 3K |
| $0.788 |
| $2.57K |
| +$201.1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 631.69 | $0.801 | $535.67 | +$29.41 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | $0.950 | $470 | -$5 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.560 | $242.5 | -$37.5 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 500 | $0.490 | $240 | -$5 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | $0.420 | $187.5 | -$22.5 |
| sell |
| 124.59 |
| $0.895 |
| $111.56 |
| 7h ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 3.33K | $0.930 | $3.1K | 7h ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.790 | $792.44 | 7h ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.851 | $93.61 | 7h ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | 8h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 155.65 | $0.983 | $153 | 4d ago |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 28.91 | $0.160 | $4.63 | 4d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.290 | $145 | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.930 | $3.1K | 5d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 690.71 | $0.982 | $678.28 | 5d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | 19d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.870 | $348 | 19d ago |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | buy | 182.95 | $0.037 | $6.84 | 23d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 2.96K | $0.967 | $2.86K | 26d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.930 | $930.15 | 26d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 2K | $0.930 | $1.86K | 26d ago |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.049 | $60.92 | 26d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | sell | 899.73 | $0.001 | $0.9 | 28d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 907.02 | $0.985 | $893.41 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.997 | $1.5K | 28d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 209.51 | $0.985 | $206.37 | 28d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 570 | $0.086 | $49.05 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | 28d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.840 | $420 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 417.02 | $0.320 | $133.45 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.030 | $300.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.400 | $22 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 222 | $0.790 | $175.38 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 245.99 | $0.811 | $199.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 46.06 | $0.820 | $37.77 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing | sell | 13.04 | $0.900 | $11.74 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 14.57 | $0.840 | $12.24 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 59.69 | $0.094 | $5.61 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 152.99 | $0.870 | $133.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?No | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 18.86 | $0.840 | $15.84 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 2.19K | $0.976 | $2.14K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 40K | $0.030 | $1.2K | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.933 | $2.1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.888 | $88.75 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 999.71 | $0.110 | $109.97 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 342.03 | $0.330 | $112.87 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.620 | $61.99 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 22.25 | $0.129 | $2.88 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.238 | $2.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |