Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 46.31 | $0.890 | $43.3 | +$2.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.670 | $1.24 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 12.23 |
| $0.811 |
| $10.41 |
| +$0.49 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 7.83 | $0.960 | $7.52 | $0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.92 | $0.882 | $6.47 | +$0.37 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.84 | $0.870 | $5.58 | +$0.5 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 5.5 | $0.914 | $5.37 | +$0.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 6.16 | $0.485 | $5.27 | +$2.28 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.51 | $0.737 | $4.76 | +$0.7 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 6.15 | $0.690 | $3.97 | -$0.28 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 4.22 | $0.830 | $3.86 | +$0.36 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 3.61 | $0.872 | $3.09 | -$0.06 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.46 | $0.508 | $2.94 | -$0.34 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 2.94 | $0.940 | $2.87 | +$0.11 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 3.02 | $0.840 | $2.84 | +$0.3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 3.8 | $0.660 | $2.57 | +$0.06 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.18 | $0.638 | $1.89 | +$0.49 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 2.13 | $0.870 | $1.84 | -$0.01 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 2.2 | $0.840 | $1.84 | -$0.01 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.830 | $1.7 | +$0.07 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.6 | $0.740 | $1.52 | +$0.34 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1.64 | $0.846 | $1.51 | +$0.13 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.35 | $0.924 | $1.32 | +$0.07 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.46 | $0.826 | $1.22 | +$0.01 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.86 | $0.650 | $1.22 | +$0.01 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.86 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.21 |
| 4h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 3.05 | $0.750 | $2.29 | 1d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 3.91 | $0.780 | $3.05 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.952 | $0.92 | 1d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.840 | $1.85 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.840 | $0.03 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.840 | $1.06 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.82 | $0.958 | $0.79 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.8 | $0.957 | $0.77 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.959 | $1.84 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.960 | $1.17 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.960 | $1.34 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.39 | $0.960 | $7.09 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.960 | $2.25 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.650 | $1.27 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 3.04 | $0.750 | $2.28 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.830 | $1.63 | 3d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.44 | $0.850 | $0.37 | 3d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.850 | $0.43 | 3d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.940 | $0.16 | 3d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.850 | $0.09 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.860 | $1.68 | 4d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.870 | $4.34 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.59 | $0.580 | $1.5 | 6d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.870 | $1.02 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.830 | $0.22 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.87 | $0.460 | $1.78 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.800 | $0.21 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.800 | $0.02 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.800 | $0.04 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.800 | $0.04 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.32 | $0.800 | $2.66 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.740 | $1.17 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.540 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.540 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.540 | $0.03 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.540 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.540 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.540 | $2.08 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.96 | $0.570 | $2.26 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.25 | $0.420 | $3.05 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 1.37 | $0.740 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.830 | $0.18 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.967 | $0.85 | 9d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.900 | $1.74 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.954 | $1.01 | 10d ago |