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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.39K | $0.276 | $481.31 | -$176.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 66.25 | $0.480 | $31.8 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 547.33 |
| $0.489 |
| $287.35 |
| +$19.9 |
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 247.21 | $0.985 | $245.1 | +$1.53 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 313.42 | $0.720 | $225.66 | +$0 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 150.01 | $0.946 | $143.56 | +$1.68 |
| buy |
| 481.08 |
| $0.490 |
| $235.65 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 70.06 | $0.947 | $66.38 | 2d ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 79.95 | $0.944 | $75.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 313.42 | $0.720 | $225.66 | 3d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 165.3 | $0.985 | $162.82 | 4d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 81.91 | $0.986 | $80.76 | 4d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.890 | $979.45 | 19d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 569.52 | $0.050 | $28.48 | 28d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.277 | $415.44 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 814.78 | $0.180 | $146.66 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 420.46 | $0.969 | $407.43 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 180.82 | $0.989 | $178.83 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 343.1 | $0.290 | $99.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.731 | $804.12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 100.07 | $0.420 | $42.03 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 69.84 | $0.693 | $48.39 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 57.49 | $0.693 | $39.84 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 10.6 | $0.693 | $7.35 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 65.3 | $0.693 | $45.23 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.720 | $0.82 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 7.88 | $0.692 | $5.45 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 11.25 | $0.692 | $7.78 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 14.05 | $0.691 | $9.71 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.670 | $0.23 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 81.37 | $0.715 | $58.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 581 | $0.270 | $156.87 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 319.27 | $0.519 | $165.7 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 324.27 | $0.450 | $145.92 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.94 | $0.760 | $15.91 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | sell | 258.99 | $0.686 | $177.77 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 259 | $0.768 | $199 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 522.05 | $0.953 | $497.51 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 146.32 | $0.070 | $10.24 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 146.32 | $0.130 | $19.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 107.12 | $0.970 | $103.91 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 292.65 | $0.170 | $49.75 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 307.49 | $0.279 | $85.79 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | sell | 1.43K | $0.926 | $1.32K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?No | sell | 1.23K | $0.694 | $852.14 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.973 | $994.72 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 64.84 | $0.540 | $35.01 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 64.84 | $0.540 | $35.01 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 129.67 | $0.540 | $70.02 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?No | buy | 205.09 | $0.970 | $198.94 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 56.35 | $0.880 | $49.59 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 203 | $0.980 | $198.94 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 568.17 | $0.080 | $45.45 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 568.18 | $0.090 | $51.14 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Yes | buy | 200.23 | $0.994 | $198.99 | Jul 6, 2026 |