Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 81.3 | $0.620 | $24.8 | -$25.61 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes | buy | 61.3 | $0.620 | $38.01 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 15 |
| $0.543 |
| $7.73 |
| -$0.42 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.300 | $5.17 | -$4.83 |
 Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.540 | $3.98 | +$1.28 |
 Will Tyler Shough have 14.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | $0 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.640 | $3.6 | +$0.4 |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | No | 5.43 | $0.460 | $2.63 | +$0.14 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.86 | $0.460 | $2.23 | -$2.77 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $1.75 | -$18.25 |
 Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? | No | 13.14 | $0.380 | $1.64 | -$3.35 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.420 | $1.07 | -$1.43 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $0.83 | -$9.18 |
 Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 21.36 | $0.220 | $0.09 | -$4.61 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.620 |
| $12.4 |
| 3d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a Wither?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | sell | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.410 | $3.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.530 | $5.89 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 38.6 | $0.389 | $15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.41 | $0.876 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.820 | $12.3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.984 | $7.93 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.982 | $5.07 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.860 | $200 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 110 | $0.890 | $97.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 8.34 | $0.880 | $7.34 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.140 | $11.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 106.72 | $0.130 | $13.87 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 235.56 | $0.107 | $25.25 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 575.87 | $0.080 | $46.07 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Yes | sell | 767.28 | $0.031 | $23.79 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?Yes | buy | 27.02 | $0.630 | $17.02 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.390 | $3.55 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.720 | $20.87 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30.47 | $0.740 | $22.55 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 64.74 | $0.924 | $59.82 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 73.91 | $0.924 | $68.29 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.923 | $6.31 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 767.28 | $0.027 | $20.72 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 203.25 | $0.984 | $200 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.720 | $300 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.420 | $60 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |