Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 6.89 | $0.840 | $5.79 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.971 |
| $4.85 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 8.98 | $0.910 | $8.17 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.700 | $4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.870 | $6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.973 | $6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.939 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.984 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.896 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.966 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.987 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.985 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 7.43 | $0.942 | $7 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 8.99 | $0.890 | $8 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 7.17 | $0.976 | $7 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.981 | $8 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.984 | $4 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No | buy | 10.88 | $0.919 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 20.26 | $0.987 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.98 | $0.911 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 8.3 | $0.964 | $8 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 22.13 | $0.994 | $22 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.925 | $4 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4AM ETUp | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.926 | $4 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.903 | $3 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | sell | 6.38 | $0.971 | $6.19 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Byrna Technologies (BYRN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Oct 8, 2025 |