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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 44.8 | $0.710 | $31.81 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 379.52 |
| $0.520 |
| $197.35 |
| Feb 9, 2025 |
 Ripple above $2.40 on January 10?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Trump's January 10 sentencing pushed back?Yes | buy | 40.96 | $0.244 | $10 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 New pandemic in 2025?No | sell | 37.35 | $0.821 | $30.66 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 61.35 | $0.650 | $39.88 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?Yes | buy | 61.11 | $0.090 | $5.5 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.909 | $36.37 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.130 | $3.5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will 19-21 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 44.81 | $0.670 | $30 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.139 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by March 31?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?No | sell | 42.75 | $0.820 | $35.06 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| New pandemic in 2025?No | buy | 37.36 | $0.803 | $30 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 61.35 | $0.489 | $30 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.027 | $3 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?Yes | sell | 22.64 | $0.090 | $2.04 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 106.76 | $0.281 | $30 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 39.21 | $0.350 | $13.72 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will Laura Loomer get her bluecheck back by Friday?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will 'Elden Ring' win Labor of Love in the 2024 Steam Awards?No | sell | 63.29 | $0.944 | $59.75 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 167.33 | $0.030 | $5 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.670 | $9.85 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Ripple above $2.20 on December 27?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.065 | $3 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will the Seahawks beat the Bears by 4 or more points?Seahawks | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 15.31 | $0.196 | $3 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.360 | $21.18 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.880 | $19.12 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.272 | $22.68 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Yes | buy | 142.87 | $0.035 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Yes | buy | 30.59 | $0.163 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will 'Nosferatu' gross between $20-25m on 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 22.64 | $0.530 | $12 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu in 2024?No | sell | 25.44 | $0.900 | $22.9 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.180 | $6 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will 'Elden Ring' win Labor of Love in the 2024 Steam Awards?No | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu in 2024?No | buy | 25.44 | $0.786 | $20 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Dec 19, 2024 |