Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.549 | $756.37 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 225.37 |
| $0.590 |
| $132.97 |
| Sep 8, 2024 |
 Will another team win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?Yes | buy | 425.98 | $0.035 | $15 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will the United States win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?Yes | buy | 425.69 | $0.035 | $15 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will Germany win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will Spain win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will Armenia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.015 | $5 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.670 | $848.19 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 225.37 | $0.510 | $114.94 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,500 on September 6?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?Yes | buy | 980.39 | $0.102 | $100 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 947.92 | $0.260 | $246.46 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 318.03 | $0.270 | $85.97 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 423.26 | $0.310 | $131.21 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | sell | 584.21 | $0.430 | $251.21 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.190 | $26.22 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?No | buy | 250 | $0.060 | $15 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?Yes | sell | 42.55 | $0.490 | $20.85 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to 48 or more months prison time?Yes | buy | 833.7 | $0.027 | $22.51 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead by by 2+ August 23?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.057 | $100 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | buy | 253.16 | $0.079 | $20 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.008 | $4 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the Speed Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.110 | $139.25 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | buy | 184.21 | $0.380 | $70 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 149.15 | $0.047 | $6.97 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.530 | $4.82 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.076 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.008 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.062 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 119.52 | $0.167 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 553.33 | $0.014 | $8 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 GPT-5 not announced in 2024?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?No | buy | 124.69 | $0.802 | $100 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will Hans Moke Niemann win the Speed Chess Championship?No | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Hans Moke Niemann win the Speed Chess Championship?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.948 | $1.18K | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Swan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?No | buy | 165.77 | $0.710 | $117.7 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?No | sell | 1.73K | $0.820 | $1.42K | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Friday?Yes | buy | 628.26 | $0.397 | $249.48 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.412 | $500 | Aug 13, 2024 |