Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.21K | $0.003 | $75.62 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 80 |
| $0.595 |
| $47.6 |
| Sep 11, 2024 |
 No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.002 | $0.8 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "France" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.020 | $3 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 150 | $0.180 | $27 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | sell | 56.23 | $0.055 | $3.09 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | sell | 100 | $0.055 | $5.5 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | sell | 100 | $0.055 | $5.5 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | sell | 100 | $0.055 | $5.5 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 250 | $0.190 | $47.5 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 175 | $0.230 | $40.25 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?Yes | sell | 44.34 | $0.007 | $0.31 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?Yes | sell | 541.66 | $0.007 | $3.79 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.007 | $3.5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?Yes | sell | 8.42 | $0.080 | $0.67 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.205 | $12.5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 75k in July?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.090 | $27 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will $BTC reach 70k in July?Yes | buy | 68.44 | $0.370 | $25.32 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Kamala president by Friday?Yes | sell | 254.16 | $0.094 | $23.89 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Kamala president by Friday?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.148 | $14.8 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Kamala president by Friday?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.148 | $32.56 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Kamala president by Friday?Yes | buy | 574.16 | $0.125 | $71.77 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?Yes | sell | 278.9 | $0.250 | $69.77 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 76 | $0.400 | $30.4 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.010 | $4 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.530 | $159 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?Yes | buy | 87.19 | $0.380 | $33.13 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 150 | $0.500 | $75 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.040 | $42 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.053 | $21.2 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.300 | $90 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.110 | $126.5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.068 | $20.4 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.068 | $27.2 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 150 | $0.440 | $66 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.230 | $69 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 90.1 | $0.087 | $7.84 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.016 | $3.2 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 300 | $0.187 | $56.1 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 100 | $0.189 | $18.9 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden drops out in July?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.998 | $174.65 | Jul 21, 2024 |