Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 70 | $0.720 | $66.15 | +$15.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 15.29 | $0.327 | $5 | 10h ago |
 |
| No |
| 15.35 |
| $0.651 |
| $13.59 |
| +$3.59 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 15.62 | $0.640 | $13.51 | +$3.51 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 11.42 | $0.700 | $9.88 | +$1.88 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.570 | $9.35 | +$3.65 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 7.58 | $0.660 | $6.25 | +$1.25 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.700 | $6.18 | +$1.18 |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | No | 7.92 | $0.630 | $6.14 | +$1.15 |
 Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5.81 | +$0.81 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5.74 | +$0.74 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 15.29 | $0.327 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 13.33 | $0.150 | $4.27 | +$2.27 |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.57 | $0.583 | $4.07 | -$0.93 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6.45 | $0.620 | $3.32 | -$0.68 |
| buy |
| 13.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $2 |
| 4d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.630 | $4.99 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4 | 14d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | 14d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.743 | $5 | 18d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.140 | $2.1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.350 | $3.75 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.583 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.482 | $9.65 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.660 | $4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.260 | $7.28 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.656 | $3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | sell | 6.79 | $0.006 | $0.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.410 | $1.76 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.027 | $1.08 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.033 | $1.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 6.07 | $0.071 | $0.43 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.620 | $4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 46.8 | $0.110 | $5.15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 19.04 | $0.419 | $7.98 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.105 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.59 | $0.582 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 14.35 | $0.209 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.190 | $4.18 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.720 | $4.67 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.28 | $0.389 | $4 | Jul 12, 2026 |