Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 37.99 |
| $0.737 |
| $28 |
| Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.110 | $0.38 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.060 | $0.55 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.918 | $11.19 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Buffett say "Apple" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?No | sell | 28.98 | $0.080 | $2.31 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever HappensYes | sell | 9.61 | $0.830 | $7.98 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Buffett say "China" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.089 | $6.85 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | sell | 50 | $0.008 | $0.4 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Megaquake before May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Buffett say "Apple" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.069 | $2 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Buffett say "China" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.065 | $5 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.125 | $3.13 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.040 | $1.38 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | sell | 50.32 | $0.995 | $50.07 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 50.32 | $0.310 | $15.6 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | sell | 35.84 | $0.710 | $25.45 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?Yes | buy | 16.61 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Fed abolished in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 18.89 | $0.180 | $3.4 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.75 | $0.260 | $3.32 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 168.33 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 35.84 | $0.708 | $25.38 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?No | sell | 26.55 | $0.956 | $25.38 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.640 | $3.94 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jan 11, 2025 |