Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.750 | $3.78 | +$0.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 12h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.760 |
| $3.23 |
| -$0.58 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.540 | $3.02 | +$0.32 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.460 | $2.28 | -$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.510 | $2.28 | -$0.28 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.370 | $1.08 | -$0.78 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.250 | $0.9 | -$0.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.240 | $0.88 | -$0.33 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30? | Yes | 5 | $0.180 | $0.3 | -$0.6 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.380 | $0.29 | -$0.86 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.310 |
| $1.55 |
| 5d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 4.05 | $0.360 | $1.46 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 12d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | 13d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 13d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 13d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.046 | $0.23 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 15d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.454 | $2.27 | 21d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | 21d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.283 | $1.41 | 27d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 28d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 3.82 | $0.760 | $2.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.680 | $3.39 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | sell | 7.38 | $0.038 | $0.28 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.033 | $0.46 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.68 | $0.340 | $1.25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.680 | $7.64 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.302 | $0.31 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.26 | $0.742 | $1.68 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | sell | 7.9 | $0.925 | $7.31 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie MackenzieElmer Moeller | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.754 | $1.09 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.756 | $3.78 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.758 | $3.79 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.758 | $3.79 | Jul 29, 2026 |