Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
|
Crimson Beacon 52A5 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,930,930 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$11.72 observed lifetime PnL, 21 distinct markets, 11 resolved positions, a 72.7% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xf4799bc85db1a95ce915d21e2c9678ac8d4452a5
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 1.52 |
| $0.660 |
| $1 |
| May 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp | sell | 1.92 | $0.580 | $1.11 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 408 | $0.006 | $2.45 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | sell | 3.06 | $0.460 | $1.41 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.91 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 408 | $0.005 | $2.04 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.89 | $0.310 | $1.51 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.400 | $1.94 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 12?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.531 | $2.65 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?No | buy | 230 | $0.006 | $1.35 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait - Who wins the toss?Hong Kong, China | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.420 | $1.31 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.