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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 37.04 |
| $0.270 |
| $10.19 |
| +$0.19 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 19.61 | $0.510 | $8.73 | -$1.27 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 14.71 | $0.680 | $6.4 | -$3.6 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.96 | +$0.38 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.220 | $1.09 | -$8.91 |
| buy |
| 12.5 |
| $0.800 |
| $10 |
| 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | 6d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 6d ago |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.365 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | 12d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 27?Up | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 13.23 | $0.756 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 20d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | 23d ago |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | 23d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | 25d ago |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.600 | $1.93 | 26d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Trump say "Drug" or "Murderer" 10+ times during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.560 | $2.85 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | buy | 38.61 | $0.259 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 35.59 | $0.281 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.298 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |