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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.97K | $0.740 | $3.75K | +$812.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?No | sell | 630.95 | $0.896 | $565.53 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.61K |
| $0.621 |
| $2.74K |
| -$7.58K |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 46K | $0.155 | $2.53K | -$4.61K |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 6.14K | $0.422 | $1.81K | -$778.84 |
| buy |
| 2K |
| $0.896 |
| $1.79K |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 29.79 | $0.890 | $26.51 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027?No | sell | 29.42 | $0.951 | $27.99 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?No | buy | 2.52K | $0.869 | $2.19K | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 437 | $0.710 | $310.27 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.24K | $0.955 | $3.09K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.660 | $1.33K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.35K | $0.961 | $2.26K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 783.45 | $0.971 | $760.69 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.974 | $1.02K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?No | sell | 44.8 | $0.949 | $42.52 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 3.05K | $0.617 | $1.88K | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 58.89 | $0.599 | $35.28 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.981 | $88.25 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.979 | $1.96K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.990 | $1.42K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.35K | $0.016 | $70.06 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 3.52K | $0.585 | $2.06K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.550 | $689.18 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 1K | $0.450 | $450 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | sell | 500 | $0.240 | $120 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 500 | $0.226 | $112.89 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.29K | $0.006 | $7.72 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 431 | $0.473 | $204 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 279 | $0.490 | $136.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 1.96K | $0.532 | $1.04K | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.460 | $460 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 6.95K | $0.420 | $2.92K | Jul 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.630 | $851.29 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.400 | $422.15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.97K | $0.740 | $2.93K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 31.23 | $0.580 | $18.11 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 300.16 | $0.854 | $256.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes | buy | 149.85 | $0.976 | $146.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | buy | 73.33 | $0.962 | $70.58 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude be restored for international customers by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.977 | $1.87K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude be restored for international customers by December 31?Yes | buy | 387 | $0.980 | $379.26 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.900 | $28.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.19 | $0.599 | $22.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.74 | $0.588 | $17.49 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 247.89 | $0.569 | $141.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 191 | $0.550 | $105.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.120 | $237.36 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 425.7 | $0.040 | $17.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.755 | $5.45 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.800 | $4.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 5.3K | $0.128 | $676.22 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 278.22 | $0.141 | $39.23 | Jun 1, 2026 |