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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.907 | $1.03 | 14d ago |
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| sell |
| 4.14 |
| $0.996 |
| $4.12 |
| 14d ago |
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.999 | $5.2 | 14d ago |
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be at least 59.0 in August?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.995 | $5.17 | 14d ago |
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be at least 59.0 in August?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.996 | $6.3 | 14d ago |
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.870 | $1.03 | 14d ago |
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 31°C or higher on August 31?No | sell | 7 | $0.995 | $6.97 | 14d ago |
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.687 | $1 | 14d ago |
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 31°C or higher on August 31?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | 14d ago |
Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in August 2026?No | sell | 8.9 | $0.998 | $8.88 | 14d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.760 | $1.05 | 14d ago |
Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in August 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | 14d ago |
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.72 | $0.998 | $5.71 | 14d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on August 30?No | sell | 6 | $0.994 | $5.96 | 14d ago |
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.999 | $6.8 | 14d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on August 30?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | 14d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on July 28?No | sell | 6.9 | $0.997 | $6.88 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Targu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia PohankovaCaijsa Hennemann | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on July 28?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.94 | $0.996 | $8.91 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.996 | $7.97 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 9.03 | $0.997 | $9 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.780 | $1.02 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will "honeybee - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | sell | 11.2 | $0.998 | $11.18 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will "honeybee - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.999 | $12.3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres | buy | 1.1 | $0.968 | $1.06 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.990 | $0.99 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.994 | $2.51 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.999 | $3.6 | May 31, 2026 |
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2Nongshim RedForce | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 31?No | sell | 4.6 | $0.998 | $4.59 | May 31, 2026 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 31?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.999 | $5.7 | May 31, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.77 | $0.993 | $3.74 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.998 | $4.9 | May 31, 2026 |
Will "Crooked" be in the headlines this week?No | sell | 3 | $0.992 | $2.98 | May 31, 2026 |
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.885 | $1.04 | May 31, 2026 |
Will "Crooked" be in the headlines this week?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?Yes | sell | 10.96 | $0.998 | $10.94 | May 31, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?Yes | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | May 31, 2026 |
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.998 | $11.98 | May 31, 2026 |
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.999 | $13 | May 31, 2026 |
Will "Elizabeth Taylor - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 2?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.996 | $1.13 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.997 | $2.15 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.994 | $2.16 | Apr 20, 2026 |