Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians | buy | 2.81 | $0.570 | $1.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 74.29 |
| $0.350 |
| $26 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Yes | sell | 20.29 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 111.42 | $0.006 | $0.67 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 7.83 | $0.590 | $4.62 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.89 | $0.550 | $5.44 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.030 | $0.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.110 | $0.79 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.800 | $0.92 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.060 | $1.13 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.780 | $0.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.43 | $0.292 | $2.17 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.710 | $5.63 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.992 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.958 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.988 | $1.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.910 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.840 | $1.08 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.914 | $1.11 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.975 | $1.18 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.011 | $0.33 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.790 | $1.26 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.430 | $1.38 | Jul 1, 2026 |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.26 | $0.140 | $1.44 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.998 | $1.84 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.820 | $2.16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.584 | $2.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 15 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 32.27 | $0.100 | $3.23 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 6.9 | $0.509 | $3.51 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.86 | $0.320 | $4.12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 5 | $0.846 | $4.23 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 6.35 | $0.740 | $4.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 38.77 | $0.122 | $4.73 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 21.05 | $0.234 | $4.93 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.01 | $0.740 | $6.67 | Jul 1, 2026 |
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?Yes | sell | 8.04 | $0.830 | $6.67 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.45 | $0.824 | $6.96 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 12.35 | $0.590 | $7.29 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.525 | $7.88 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.340 | $0.61 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 2.14 | $0.160 | $0.34 | Jun 29, 2026 |