Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.974 | $1.41 | Dec 10, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 14.94 |
| $0.996 |
| $14.88 |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 71.95 | $0.981 | $70.58 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 87.73 | $0.990 | $86.85 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 167.39 | $0.023 | $3.85 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 133.22 | $0.610 | $81.26 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.84 | $0.950 | $10.3 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 133.23 | $0.660 | $87.93 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 95.36 | $0.974 | $92.88 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.88 | $0.985 | $89.52 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 87.27 | $0.997 | $87.01 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 87.26 | $0.998 | $87.09 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 82.22 | $0.994 | $81.73 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 82.22 | $0.995 | $81.81 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 79.82 | $0.997 | $79.58 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 79.83 | $0.998 | $79.67 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 77.16 | $0.997 | $76.93 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 77.16 | $0.998 | $77.01 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.992 | $4.17 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 83.35 | $0.997 | $83.1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 83.36 | $0.998 | $83.19 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 78.93 | $0.990 | $78.14 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 78.93 | $0.993 | $78.38 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No | buy | 18.27 | $0.999 | $18.25 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 76.53 | $0.996 | $76.22 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 76.54 | $0.997 | $76.31 | May 29, 2025 |
 Solana all time high in May?No | buy | 9.97 | $0.999 | $9.96 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 83.64 | $0.997 | $83.39 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.996 | $7.06 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 83.65 | $0.998 | $83.48 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 85.01 | $0.998 | $84.84 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 85.01 | $0.999 | $84.92 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.955 | $5.51 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.998 | $3.84 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 84.69 | $0.999 | $84.61 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 86.99 | $0.998 | $86.82 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 87 | $0.999 | $86.91 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.997 | $1.2 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 74.29 | $0.994 | $73.84 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 74.29 | $0.995 | $73.92 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.996 | $7.65 | May 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.99 | $0.983 | $1.96 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.980 | $3.45 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 37.57 | $0.996 | $37.42 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 21.33 | $0.996 | $21.24 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 37.57 | $0.997 | $37.46 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 44.12 | $0.996 | $43.94 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.998 | $5.62 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 44.12 | $0.997 | $43.99 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 55.51 | $0.999 | $55.45 | Apr 25, 2025 |