Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?Up | buy | 40.8 | $0.650 | $26.52 | May 12, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 26.52 |
| $0.830 |
| $22.01 |
| May 11, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by May 9?Yes | sell | 22.17 | $0.993 | $22.01 | May 8, 2025 |
| New Pope announced by May 9?Yes | buy | 22.18 | $0.730 | $16.19 | May 4, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 3?Down | sell | 12.98 | $0.999 | $12.97 | May 3, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 3?Down | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | May 3, 2025 |
 India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | sell | 30.05 | $0.440 | $13.22 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 1, 2025 |
| India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | buy | 30.06 | $0.540 | $16.23 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 16.37 | $0.991 | $16.22 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 16.37 | $0.811 | $13.28 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 ChatGPT o3 released by Friday?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 10.44 | $0.840 | $8.77 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.670 | $7 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.490 | $7 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 No Data Reported in 2025?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 225 | $0.022 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 26.47 | $0.975 | $25.8 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 26.47 | $0.680 | $18 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | buy | 27.42 | $0.547 | $15 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.070 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | sell | 41.23 | $0.608 | $25.07 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Did Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare?Yes | buy | 134.62 | $0.260 | $35 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 503.25 | $0.004 | $2 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 41.24 | $0.485 | $20 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Irakli Kobakhidze out as Georgia PM in 2024?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?Yes | buy | 432.86 | $0.007 | $3 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.015 | $2 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris get 76-78m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 327.81 | $0.006 | $2 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.198 | $11.88 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Assad leaves Syria before 2025?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.006 | $6 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Assad leaves Syria before 2025?No | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | sell | 89.74 | $0.991 | $88.93 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 383.55 | $0.008 | $3 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.037 | $10 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will South Korean President lift martial law today?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.981 | $13.25 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Will South Korean President lift martial law today?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Irakli Kobakhidze out as Georgia PM in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 89.74 | $0.078 | $7 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?Yes | sell | 26.71 | $0.999 | $26.68 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?Yes | buy | 26.71 | $0.210 | $5.61 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 23, 2024 |