Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 16.85 | $0.890 | $16.23 | +$1.23 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 13.69 | $0.730 | $9.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 11.63 |
| $0.860 |
| $11.5 |
| +$1.5 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.908 | $9.68 | +$0.6 |
 Waymo IPO before 2027? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.51 | +$0.51 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.68 | $0.880 | $4.91 | -$0.09 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $4.65 | -$10.35 |
| buy |
| 28.8 |
| $0.500 |
| $14.39 |
| Apr 16, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 17.44 | $0.860 | $15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No | buy | 16.04 | $0.930 | $14.92 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?No | buy | 17.04 | $0.850 | $14.48 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 14.64 | $0.010 | $0.15 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.960 | $9.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.971 | $15 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 207.44 | $0.115 | $23.86 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 19.45 | $0.810 | $15.76 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.03 | $0.329 | $2.97 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 18.32 | $0.417 | $7.64 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22.98 | $0.397 | $9.13 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 23.56 | $0.387 | $9.12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.520 | $9.12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | sell | 16.85 | $0.760 | $12.81 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 16.95 | $0.760 | $12.88 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 31.27 | $0.801 | $25.04 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.050 | $3.13 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.910 | $9.93 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.930 | $15 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.091 | $5.67 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 393.27 | $0.023 | $9.02 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 21.77 | $0.689 | $15 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.974 | $9.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 8?Yes | sell | 12.36 | $0.971 | $12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 9?Yes | sell | 22.98 | $0.830 | $19.07 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | sell | 5.34 | $0.922 | $4.92 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Hegseth say "CIA" during press conference?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.120 | $0.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.872 | $4.53 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.800 | $4.59 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.820 | $4.88 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 11.46 | $0.910 | $10.43 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.520 | $32.5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 11.69 | $0.840 | $9.82 | Apr 8, 2026 |