Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.083 | $6.62 | May 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 205.14 |
| $0.316 |
| $64.74 |
| May 14, 2026 |
| Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 0.84 | $0.600 | $0.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | May 14, 2026 |
 Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 130.06 | $0.852 | $110.79 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 384.08 | $0.964 | $370.12 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 3.08K | $0.984 | $3.03K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 2K | $0.983 | $1.97K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 670.6 | $0.930 | $623.66 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.530 | $265 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 855.36 | $0.390 | $333.59 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 16K | $0.996 | $15.94K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.03K | $0.810 | $2.45K | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.26K | $0.976 | $4.16K | Jan 18, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 3.21K | $0.959 | $3.07K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 855.36 | $0.461 | $393.96 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.170 | $173.27 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 384.07 | $0.920 | $353.34 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.170 | $173.27 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.71K | $0.530 | $906.68 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | sell | 547.19 | $0.036 | $19.66 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | sell | 1.89K | $0.063 | $118.74 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.580 | $589.28 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 233.91 | $0.067 | $15.67 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.930 | $74.4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 313.28 | $0.056 | $17.52 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 194.83 | $0.990 | $192.85 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 130 | $0.983 | $127.75 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.190 | $387.32 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.650 | $390 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.640 | $63.99 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 653 | $0.170 | $111.01 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 75 | $0.989 | $74.18 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 779.6 | $0.987 | $769.48 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $80M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 48.74 | $0.989 | $48.2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 756.41 | $0.100 | $75.64 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 480 | $0.100 | $48 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 408 | $0.500 | $204 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 511.48 | $0.974 | $497.95 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 386.6 | $0.490 | $189.43 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.950 | $2.85K | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | Jan 1, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 701.98 | $0.560 | $393.11 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.998 | $2.99K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.995 | $1.99K | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 235.85 | $0.960 | $226.42 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $287.9 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.996 | $2.99K | Dec 28, 2025 |