Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.18 | $0.160 | $2.75 | Apr 9, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 8.92 |
| $0.250 |
| $2.23 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.372 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.58 | $0.270 | $2.32 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.200 | $3.03 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.51 | $0.190 | $2.76 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.82 | $0.021 | $1.11 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.1 | $0.018 | $0.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.8 | $0.360 | $2.81 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.6 | $0.370 | $2.81 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.27 | $0.037 | $2.71 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.71 | $0.624 | $4.81 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.65 | $0.098 | $1.82 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | sell | 10.77 | $0.999 | $10.76 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.05 | $0.156 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 10.77 | $0.751 | $8.09 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.950 | $21.58 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.63 | $0.278 | $2.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.9 | $0.137 | $3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.190 | $1.27 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.053 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.33 | $0.058 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.252 | $4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 22)Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "Nuclear" or "Iran" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 4.24 | $0.590 | $2.5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance say "Right Now" during the fundraiser?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Space Force" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Coal" 25+ times during the Champion of Coal event?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.610 | $3.5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | sell | 11.53 | $0.997 | $11.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next press briefing?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.660 | $4 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Washington DC" or "DC" during the State of the Union address?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.750 | $6 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?No | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Feb 1, 2026 |