Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.999 | $1.08 | Jan 9, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.09 |
| $0.940 |
| $1.02 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.998 | $1.08 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.997 | $1.08 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.971 | $1.16 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will RFK end Polio vaccine recommendation in 2025?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.995 | $1.14 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Trump-Epstein ParlayNo | sell | 1.28 | $0.910 | $1.16 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will RFK end Polio vaccine recommendation in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.992 | $1.15 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.11 | $0.360 | $1.48 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.920 | $1.18 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.890 | $1.13 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.360 | $1.48 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.900 | $1.15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Trump-Epstein ParlayNo | buy | 1.29 | $0.900 | $1.16 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.880 | $1.01 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.880 | $1.02 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 45% and 47%?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.997 | $1.09 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.45 | $0.610 | $2.71 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 45% and 47%?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.46 | $0.810 | $3.61 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.600 | $1.13 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.610 | $1.15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by November 30, 2025?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.952 | $1.14 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.971 | $1.17 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.990 | $1.05 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.998 | $1.34 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.989 | $1.37 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.73 | $0.037 | $0.14 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will ANO get more than 36% of the vote in the Czech election?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.800 | $1.03 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.996 | $1.47 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.340 | $1.27 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.790 | $1.34 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.910 | $1.35 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.978 | $1.29 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.7 | $0.760 | $1.29 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.997 | $1.24 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.968 | $1.28 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before August?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.993 | $1.19 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Sprint Race?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.850 | $1.1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.180 | $0.4 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.480 | $1.07 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before August?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.960 | $1.16 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.998 | $1.24 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | sell | 1.87 | $0.966 | $1.81 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.820 | $1.2 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.996 | $1.34 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.543 | $0.68 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on May 30?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.900 | $1.25 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Sadie Sink win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025?Yes | sell | 1.32 | $0.027 | $0.04 | May 23, 2025 |