Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.06K | $0.001 | $71.06 | Jul 29, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.87K |
| $0.001 |
| $3.87 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 149.72K | $0.002 | $299.43 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | sell | 983.24 | $0.333 | $327.13 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 983.25 | $0.330 | $324.66 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 58.14 | $0.430 | $25 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 303.03 | $0.999 | $302.73 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.221 | $269.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes | sell | 2.99K | $0.099 | $296.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes | buy | 139.66 | $0.130 | $18.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.86K | $0.003 | $53.59 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes | buy | 219.71 | $0.420 | $92.28 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.420 | $0.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes | buy | 20.25 | $0.410 | $8.3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes | buy | 22.8 | $0.360 | $8.21 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes | buy | 85.68 | $0.310 | $26.56 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes | buy | 90.6 | $0.256 | $23.16 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 458.72 | $0.109 | $50 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 310.56 | $0.161 | $50 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.165 | $50 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?Yes | sell | 666.16 | $0.999 | $665.49 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?Yes | buy | 514.71 | $0.163 | $84.09 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in May?Yes | buy | 212.49 | $0.376 | $80 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?Yes | buy | 288.46 | $0.520 | $150 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?Yes | buy | 666.17 | $0.450 | $300 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 730.41 | $0.043 | $31.25 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.097 | $359.21 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.230 | $7.42 | Dec 9, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.100 | $15.38 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 476.19 | $0.070 | $33.33 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.092 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.051 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Nov 30, 2025 |
US bank failure by December 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.058 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 231.77 | $0.022 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?Yes | buy | 138.64 | $0.036 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 749.71 | $0.028 | $21 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | buy | 254.03 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Nov 29, 2025 |
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 140.23 | $0.036 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 323.82 | $0.031 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 778.91 | $0.013 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 20.62 | $0.485 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |