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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.910 | $0.97 | Jan 16, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.88 |
| $0.580 |
| $1.09 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.880 | $1.27 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.890 | $1.29 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.890 | $2.24 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.975 | $1.25 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.850 | $2.15 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.810 | $0.91 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.960 | $1.23 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will "What's in the Box?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No | buy | 1.18 | $0.999 | $1.18 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.998 | $1.44 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.890 | $1.36 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.840 | $1.29 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.999 | $1.44 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.680 | $1.19 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.994 | $1.44 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.720 | $1.26 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| sell | 1.22 | $0.956 | $1.17 | Nov 28, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.963 | $1.28 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.940 | $1.06 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.999 | $1.31 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.870 | $1.01 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.998 | $1.48 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.360 | $1.06 | Nov 11, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.950 | $1.27 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.994 | $1.48 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $240 in October?No | sell | 3.42 | $0.952 | $3.26 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| buy | 1.23 | $0.946 | $1.16 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.954 | $1.4 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $240 in October?No | buy | 3.43 | $0.400 | $1.37 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.997 | $1.44 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.875 | $1.31 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.976 | $1.38 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.991 | $1.11 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.947 | $1.34 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.996 | $1.12 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.910 | $1.02 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.998 | $1.96 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?No | sell | 1.76 | $0.820 | $1.44 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.993 | $0.2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.900 | $1.59 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by August 31?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.930 | $1.3 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by August 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.930 | $1.31 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.961 | $1.42 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.998 | $1.31 | Jul 5, 2025 |
FIFA Club World Cup: 175+ Goals Scored?Yes | buy | 4.91 | $0.998 | $4.9 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.860 | $1.39 | Jun 26, 2025 |