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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.520 | $2.36K | +$22.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30?Over | buy | 150.59 | $0.257 | $38.65 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.51K |
| $0.664 |
| $1.03K |
| +$31.63 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 902.34 | $0.665 | $717.36 | +$117.36 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 877.19 | $0.570 | $644.74 | +$144.74 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 605 | $0.580 | $499.13 | +$148.23 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 610.26 | $0.586 | $414.98 | +$57.14 |
 Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? | No | 474.09 | $0.681 | $405.35 | +$82.26 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 361.45 | $0.830 | $316.27 | +$16.27 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.760 | $256.5 | +$28.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.620 | $256.5 | +$70.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.750 | $232.5 | +$7.5 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.540 | $225 | -$99 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 515.95 | $0.376 | $218.76 | +$24.6 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 271.34 | $0.737 | $206.22 | +$6.22 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 263.99 | $0.700 | $198.92 | +$14.23 |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30? | Over | 650.59 | $0.480 | $191.92 | -$120.18 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 419 | $0.548 | $157.13 | -$72.72 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 213.55 | $0.468 | $130.27 | +$30.27 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.35K | $0.370 | $128.38 | -$371.62 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.63K | $0.123 | $118.7 | -$81.3 |
 Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 281.19 | $0.178 | $108.12 | +$58.12 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.313 | $106.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $99.75 | +$10.75 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.106 | $79.25 | +$26.25 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.042 | $68.03 | +$17.46 |
| sell |
| 63.79 |
| $0.245 |
| $15.61 |
| 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 63.79 | $0.260 | $16.59 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 850 | $0.120 | $102 | 2h ago |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.365 | $109.4 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 850 | $0.120 | $102 | 21h ago |
 Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariThiago Seyboth Wild | buy | 499.99 | $0.538 | $268.89 | 23h ago |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30?Over | buy | 400 | $0.549 | $219.46 | 1d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.510 | $159.38 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.5K | $0.520 | $2.34K | 1d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 476.31 | $0.209 | $99.47 | 1d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 750 | $0.350 | $262.5 | 1d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 3.68K | $0.490 | $1.8K | 1d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.936 | $59.9 | 8d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | sell | 433.64 | $0.080 | $34.57 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.089 | $8.86 | 8d ago |
| Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?No | buy | 300 | $0.084 | $25.25 | 8d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.438 | $43.79 | 8d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.408 | $4.08 | 8d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.407 | $40.72 | 8d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.407 | $81.38 | 8d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.130 | $91 | 10d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.132 | $26.33 | 10d ago |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30?Over | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | 10d ago |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.145 | $29.06 | 10d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.526 | $157.84 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.470 | $117.5 | 10d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 21.4 | $0.580 | $12.41 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.730 | $292 | 10d ago |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes | sell | 7.48 | $0.006 | $0.04 | 10d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.040 | $6.4 | 10d ago |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 228.75 | $0.091 | $20.89 | 12d ago |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | 12d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | sell | 345 | $0.877 | $302.5 | 12d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 246.56 | $0.999 | $246.31 | 16d ago |
 49ers vs. ChargersChargers | sell | 625 | $0.110 | $68.75 | 19d ago |
| 49ers vs. ChargersChargers | buy | 625 | $0.160 | $100 | 19d ago |
| Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | 19d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 4.58 | $0.533 | $2.44 | 19d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | 19d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.540 | $216 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 57.28 | $0.524 | $30 | 19d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 937.2 | $0.011 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.373 | $9.7 | 19d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 44.3 | $0.412 | $18.24 | 19d ago |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?No | sell | 800 | $0.960 | $768 | 19d ago |
| Raiders vs. TexansRaiders | sell | 162.76 | $0.170 | $27.67 | 19d ago |
| Raiders vs. TexansRaiders | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | 19d ago |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 183.75 | $0.571 | $105 | 19d ago |