Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 771 | $0.740 | $57.83 | -$512.72 |
 Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.310 | $4.65 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 77 |
| $0.814 |
| $30.92 |
| -$31.74 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.022 | $0.94 | +$0.92 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1 | $0.560 | $0.72 | +$0.16 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 0.84 | $0.340 | $0.2 | -$0.08 |
 Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 2 | $0.401 | $0.19 | -$0.61 |
| sell |
| 26 |
| $0.810 |
| $21.06 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 630 | $0.570 | $359.1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.240 | $22.08 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?No | sell | 16 | $0.962 | $15.39 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Ramp IPO before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.780 | $13.26 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.650 | $25.35 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 107.54 | $0.100 | $10.75 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?No | buy | 283 | $0.810 | $229.23 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 630 | $0.560 | $352.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?No | sell | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)No | sell | 143 | $0.310 | $44.33 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | sell | 192 | $0.660 | $126.72 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No | sell | 564 | $0.190 | $107.16 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?No | sell | 288 | $0.860 | $247.68 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | buy | 192 | $0.700 | $134.4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)No | buy | 143 | $0.340 | $48.62 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.850 | $111.35 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?No | sell | 186 | $0.920 | $171.12 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 692 | $0.770 | $532.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | sell | 26 | $0.770 | $20.02 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 127 | $0.690 | $87.63 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 692 | $0.780 | $539.76 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 654 | $0.781 | $510.77 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No | sell | 166 | $0.180 | $29.88 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.730 | $18.98 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No | buy | 504 | $0.190 | $95.76 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No | buy | 255 | $0.200 | $51 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?No | sell | 45 | $0.480 | $21.6 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 622 | $0.630 | $391.86 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 622 | $0.630 | $391.86 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 257 | $0.870 | $223.59 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?No | buy | 236 | $0.890 | $210.04 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 303 | $0.870 | $263.61 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | buy | 26 | $0.830 | $21.58 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No | sell | 93 | $0.373 | $34.69 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 560 | $0.870 | $487.2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?No | buy | 45 | $0.540 | $24.3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No | sell | 170 | $0.780 | $132.6 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | sell | 548 | $0.410 | $224.68 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | sell | 126 | $0.410 | $51.66 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | buy | 674 | $0.430 | $289.82 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 350 | $0.750 | $262.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 21 | $0.760 | $15.96 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.230 | $4.83 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?No | sell | 83 | $0.750 | $62.25 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No | buy | 93 | $0.407 | $37.85 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No | buy | 172 | $0.780 | $134.16 | Jan 9, 2026 |