Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 20.41 | $0.490 | $9.49 | -$0.51 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 33.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $5.5 |
| +$0.5 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 5.9 | $0.847 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? | No | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? | No | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | -$0 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? | No | 5.25 | $0.953 | $4.99 | -$0.01 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 5.26 | $0.950 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 6.02 | $0.830 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 8.77 | $0.114 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10.1 | $0.099 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
| buy |
| 10.1 |
| $0.099 |
| $1 |
| 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.847 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.114 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5 | 16d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Over | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 16d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | 16d ago |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 31.49 | $0.318 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.850 | $32.69 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.986 | $24.65 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in October?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 11?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |