Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.28K | $0.379 | $2.25K | +$626.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.400 | $32 | Jul 10, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 399.67 |
| $0.825 |
| $345.71 |
| +$15.89 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.16K | $0.835 | $168.63 | -$798.81 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 140.4 | $0.753 | $122.85 | +$17.09 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400.49 | $0.140 | $122.15 | +$66.08 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 24.47 | $0.870 | $23.49 | +$2.2 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 201.61 | $0.300 | $14.11 | -$46.33 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $4.1 | -$4.3 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | 6 | $0.190 | $0.32 | -$0.83 |
| buy |
| 148 |
| $0.400 |
| $59.2 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.400 | $400 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.162 | $810 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.4K | $0.161 | $869.83 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400.49 | $0.140 | $56.07 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 485 | $0.370 | $179.45 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 400 | $0.830 | $332 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.370 | $770.34 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 500 | $0.830 | $415.17 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 400 | $0.830 | $332.09 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 186 | $0.830 | $154.38 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 485 | $0.370 | $179.45 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No | sell | 400 | $0.510 | $204 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?Yes | buy | 478.43 | $0.970 | $464.28 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No | buy | 443 | $0.595 | $263.37 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.42K | $0.188 | $1.96K | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?Yes | buy | 14.3 | $0.997 | $14.26 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | buy | 132.75 | $0.998 | $132.48 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes | buy | 16.32 | $0.998 | $16.29 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 318 | $0.945 | $300.51 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 51.83 | $0.320 | $16.59 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | sell | 32.27 | $0.270 | $8.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.270 | $135 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 180.46 | $0.987 | $178.11 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.430 | $215 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.380 | $190 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.380 | $152 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.999 | $2.51K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 675.81 | $0.999 | $675.13 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 396.67 | $0.820 | $325.27 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.59 | $0.790 | $85 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.626 | $562.97 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.290 | $579.71 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 216.32 | $0.534 | $115.49 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 109.94 | $0.511 | $56.21 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.480 | $8.64 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 683.03 | $0.442 | $301.87 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 549.9 | $0.998 | $548.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.82 | $0.770 | $36.82 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 118.74 | $0.399 | $47.38 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.368 | $18.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.998 | $1.81K | May 31, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.020 | $22.34 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 510 | $0.021 | $10.71 | May 31, 2026 |