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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100 | $0.616 | $61.6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.602 |
| $60.2 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 99.95 | $0.099 | $9.9 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.672 | $6.72 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 34.76 | $0.084 | $2.92 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.860 | $258 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.268 | $2.68 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.182 | $9.12 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Ethereum ETF Flows on March 2?Negative | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.51 | $0.710 | $11.01 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by March 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.954 | $23.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 270 | $0.900 | $243 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.988 | $247 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.930 | $232.5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.942 | $235.39 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.862 | $86.23 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.770 | $23.1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.862 | $86.2 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?Yes | buy | 97.95 | $0.480 | $47.02 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.944 | $23.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.59 | $0.855 | $21.02 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.964 | $192.87 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.660 | $198 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group A1win | buy | 200 | $0.778 | $155.62 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group A1win | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group A1win | buy | 21.23 | $0.850 | $18.05 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group A1win | buy | 26.9 | $0.840 | $22.6 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 300 | $0.941 | $282.3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 100 | $0.941 | $94.1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.960 | $14.4 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.960 | $86.4 | Dec 21, 2025 |