Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 1.36K | $0.309 | $421.91 | Jan 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 387.1 |
| $0.310 |
| $120 |
| Jan 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 476.19 | $0.090 | $42.86 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 606.06 | $0.330 | $200 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Maduro out by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 705.75 | $0.998 | $704.34 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 705.76 | $0.597 | $421.01 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 439.93 | $0.957 | $421.01 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 439.93 | $0.740 | $325.55 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 775.15 | $0.410 | $317.81 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 341.73 | $0.930 | $317.81 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 341.74 | $0.340 | $116.19 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.94K | $0.060 | $116.19 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.260 | $503.29 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.390 | $476.65 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 282.34 | $0.380 | $107.29 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tampon" at debate?Yes | buy | 4.26K | $0.290 | $1.23K | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Mars" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 690.95 | $0.120 | $82.77 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 218.18 | $0.720 | $157.09 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.790 | $1.17K | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 732.25 | $0.560 | $410.3 | Aug 11, 2024 |